Wednesday, November 10, 2010

What's Not to Like?

Looking ahead to Friday, it seems to be shaping up as a lovely evening to fly from KBDR in Bridgeport to KVKX in the DC area. All of the weather indicators are good.

The synoptic picture, courtesy of NCEP, shows high pressure dominating the eastern seaboard as of 00Z Saturday (i.e., 7:00 PM EST). The front running from the Great Lakes southwest to Texas won't be a factor.

The trough that dragged cold arctic air down here to give us a chill the last few days has moved off to the east and the freezing level will be high. The chart at left from ADDS shows the isotherms at the 725mb level (about 9,000 feet). My route will be well south of the 0 degree curve, so even if I can find a cloud it will just be wet. And both the NAM and GFS Model Output Statistics are predicting ceilings above 12,000 feet and excellent visibility across the route.

And finally, I note with some amazement that N631S and I may even get a tailwind! The wind speed chart at left, also from the ADDS site, indicates a bit of a push (maybe 10 or 15 knots) will be on offer for the southbound legs.

This is about as nice a weather picture as one could hope for in mid-November. If the forecasts verify, I'm expecting a beautiful evening flight.

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